Monsoon will be a blessing, says IMD

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Monsoon will be a blessing, says IMD

All scarcity will be overcome

Thursday, 16th July 2020

This year’s monsoon rains will be extremely heavy (more than 20cm) and bring with them, floods in Bihar, Assam as well as eastern Uttar Pradesh. Arunachal Pradesh is going to experience landslides and there will be a new rainfall record in Sourashtra.


The four-month south-west monsoon of the initial 45 days has been helpful for agriculture. 17 states have seen normal rain, 10 have received excess and 2 have received large excess, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD).


46% deficiency was seen in Delhi until Tuesday. However, many parts of the city received rain on Wednesday along with certain parts of Noida and Greater Noida in the National Capital Region (NCR).


“We are expecting moderate category rain on July 17, 18 and 19 which will help cover the deficiency. There is a cyclonic circulation over Uttar Pradesh and the monsoon trough is also likely to bring rains over the city”, head of the IMD’s Regional Weather Forecasting Centre Kuldeep Shrivastava said.


There is deficiency in west Uttar Pradesh, Mizoram, Manipur, Himachal Pradesh, Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Kerala apart from Delhi. Ladakh, Jammu and Kashmir fall under “large deficient” category.


“As of now, there is a slight deficiency in northwest India which is likely to be covered. Rest of India has got very good rains. Rains will further improve in August and September”, senior scientist at Pune’s IMD DS Pai stated.


He said that cool phase of a cool El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is prevalent. “There is no La Nina (La Niña is characterized by unusually cold ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific) phase yet. But cool El Nino neutral conditions favour a normal monsoon over India. Further cooling will ensure more rains in August and September”, he further added.


Mohapatra, IMD’s director general said, “Except for six subdivisions, the distribution of monsoon rains have been very good this year”.


Konkan, Madhya  Maharashtra, Goa and Gujarat are going to receive heavy rains during next five days due to an east-west shear zone  and a strong lower level wind convergence, said IMD on Wednesday. Northern plains also, might experience heavy rainfall on the 18th and 19th of July.


“We are seeing a high convergence of strong, moist westerly and southwesterly winds at lower levels from the Arabian sea. It happened between July 2 and 4, again from July 5 and 7 and now again we are seeing the same pattern so the west coast and Gujarat have got very good rains. No system has developed over the Bay of Bengal. Another feature of this monsoon is the frequent oscillation of the trough to the north and sometimes to the south of its normal position which gave us very good distribution of rains even in Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Marathwada, Rayalaseema and Telangana”, RK Jenamani, the national weather forecasting centre’s senior scientist said.


The movement of the monsoon trough in northward direction will cause rains in the Himalayan foothills on July 19th and 20th.


The plentiful rains predicted are going to boost economy in rural sector. The rainfall from June to September is essential for agricultural gains as half of all Indians are from agriculture sector. Up to 60% of the nation’s net cultivated area depends on rains.



Source: Hindustan Times 

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