Our planet is at the risk of hitting the limit of temperature soon

Temperature limit may be reached any moment, says latest research...learn more...

Monday, 31st May 2021

Important research says that by the year 2025, chances are that at least one of the years will be 1.5C hotter when compared to the pre-industrial level. There’s a 40 percent chance of this occurrence. That is actually the lower figures pertaining to the two overall temperature limits fixed by the Paris Agreement on climatic change. The conclusion of the study is presented through a report that got published under the initiative of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).

This analysis springs from the modeling by the UK Met Office as well as climate researchers in the 10 different countries of the globe including China and the US.

During the past decade, it was roughly thought by the researchers that there was a just 20 percent chance of anyone particular year soaring up to the 1.5C threshold. This new study pushes that to 40%.

Leon Hermanson, a seasoned, senior, and famed Met Office scientist stated before the BBC News Media that comparing the projected temperatures with the temperatures of 1850-1900 indicates a crystal clear rise. "What it means is that we're approaching 1.5C - we're not there yet but we're getting close," said Hermanson."Time is running out for the strong action which we need now."

The researchers are of the opinion that even if just one of the forthcoming five years happens to be 1.5C higher than the pre-industrial level, it'll be a temporary situation. Natural variability is likely to stand for the fact that a forthcoming couple of years maybe a little cooler and furthermore, another decade and more could be needed for that 1.5C threshold to be crossed permanently.

Also Read: Glaciers Worldwide are Melting Faster Than Ever Before.

The Paris Agreement presented their goal of limiting the rise in the global temperature average to not beyond 2C and to make efforts not to allow it to surpass the 1.5C mark- and that's assumed to be across a long time period rather than just one single year.

As per the opinion of Dr. Joeri Rogelj, director of research at the Grantham Institute under the Imperial College London, "the 1.5C in the Met Office announcement should not be confused with the 1.5C limit in the Paris Agreement". "The Paris targets refer to global warming - that is, the temperature increase of our planet once we smooth out year-to-year variations," he elucidated.

"A single year hitting 1.5C, therefore, doesn't mean the Paris limits are breached, but is nevertheless very bad news…" It tells us once again that climate action to date is wholly insufficient and emissions need to be reduced urgently to zero to halt global warming."

UN Climate Panel’s Landmark report of 2018 showcased how the results of climatic changes are far severe in cases when the rise is far beyond the 1.5C threshold

At the current moment, opinions suggest that even after the pledges made to curb the greenhouse gas emissions, the planet is on its way to get heated up by nearly 3C.

Also Read: High Mercury levels discovered in the rivers related to the Greenland Ice Sheet.

Prof Petteri Taalas, the secretary-general of WMO said that the results of this new study were "more than mere statistics"."This study shows - with a high level of scientific skill - that we are getting measurably and inexorably closer to the lower target of the Paris Agreement on Climate Change," Taalas explained. "It is yet another wake-up call that the world needs to fast-track commitments to slash greenhouse gas emissions and achieve carbon neutrality."

Prof Ed Hawkins, an acclaimed climate expert and scientist at the University of Reading, stated that if this latest forecast turns out to be true "it does not mean that we have exceeded the Paris Agreement limit". He further declares that in the 2 individual months of 2016 there was a sharp increase of 1.5C.

"As the climate warms, we'll get more months above 1.5C, then a sequence of them, then a whole year on average above 1.5 and then two or three years and then virtually every year," Prof Hawkins stated.

He also highlights the fact that the 1.5C threshold is "not a magic number that we've got to avoid".

"It's not a sudden cliff edge, it's more like a slope that we're already on and, as the climate warms, the effects get worse and worse…"We have to set a line in the sand to try to limit the temperature rise but we clearly need to recognize that we're seeing the effects of climate change already in the UK and around the world and those effects will continue to become more severe."

The News Talkie Bureau

Source:

BBC